Ceris-Cnr, W.P. N° 14/2005 very different, so should be carefully examined. If we consider the representative consumer approach, à la Dixit and Stiglitz (1977), the results show that assuming free entry, constant marginal costs with a fixed cost of production, and a CES utility function (which implies that products are treated symmetrically), price and output are independent of market size. Thus, as market size increases, there are now more profitable opportunities and new entry will occur until profits are driven to zero. However, the number of firms will increase proportionately with market size, as the elasticity of substitution is constant.6 In locational models, à la Hotelling, on the other hand, competition is localized. Shaked and Sutton (1987) show that as market size increases, and assuming the distribution of consumer tastes is constant, market shares can always be made arbitrarily small by entering between existing products and capturing a positive market share. However, if the number of firms increases in a particular segment, the existing firms now find that there is more competition (the elasticity of substitution has increased). This implies that as market size increases, the increase in firm numbers is less than proportionate. However, in both approaches to understanding horizontal differentiation, the inverse structure-size relationship is a general result. Thus, in Type 1 industries, we can construct a lower bound to concentration that tells us the lowest level of concentration we would expect to observe for a given market size.7 Depending on the strategic choices that firms make within specific industries as well as external factors 6 7 As there are no perceived cross-effects by assumption, strategic interactions such as product positioning cannot be analyzed because all products are generalized substitutes. Intuitively, it is as if firms are assigned a product randomly on entry; there is no notion of ‘neighbourhood’ relative to the other products in the market. In an industry characterized by horizontal differentiation, a range of equilibrium outcomes becomes possible. The same group of firms might enter all submarkets leading to high concentration with a few multi-product firms or, on the other hand, small niche firms may enter each submarket, yielding a more fragmented structure. such as government regulation, many industries will lie above the lower bound.8 Overall, the Sutton approach, although general and robust, cannot tell us much about what we expect to observe above the lower bound to concentration, and this is where the resource-based view of the firm plays a very important role. 1.2 Market Structure and Market Size: Type 2 Industries In an industry characterized by vertical product differentiation, every consumer has the same ranking of quality. Thus, if all products were sold at the same price, all consumers would choose the highest quality product (Mussa and Rosen, 1978; Gabszewicz and Thisse, 1979; Shaked and Sutton, 1982, 1983, 1987). Products can be sold at different prices either because consumers have differing levels of income or relatively less intense preferences for quality (i.e., sensitivity to quality).9 In Type 2 industries, firms not only compete in price but also in advertising and/or R&D to increase the (perceived) quality of the product. Intuitively, as market size increases, the incentive to gain market share through the escalation of advertising and/or R&D expenditure also increases. The consequent rise in overhead costs has a countervailing effect on market structure by increasing the degree of economies of scale. The basic notion is that although there appears to be room for more firms in a larger market, 'the escalation mechanism' raises fixed costs per firm, possibly even to such an extent that the negative structure-size relation breaks down (Sutton, 1991) as shown in Figure 1. 8 9 Also consider whether the market is in disequilibrium. In the short run, it may take quite a long time before firms merge or exit, particularly if economies of scale are large relative to market size, as exit will tend to be slower, the more sunk (industry specific) is the plant. Such an industry may be labeled a ‘natural oligopoly’. This differs crucially from horizontal differentiation where if all products were sold at the same price, every product would have a positive market share, i.e. consumers vary in their rankings of product characteristics. 7